SOFTWARE COMPLEX "FORECASTING PRODUCTION AND ECONOMIC INDICATORS OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION"
Margarita N. Barsukova, Zhanna I. Varanitsa-Gorodovskaya, Yaroslav M. Ivanyo, Alexey A. Romme
Irkutsk State Agricultural University named after A.A. Ezhevsky,
Forecasting production and economic indicators of agricultural production is relevant for drawing up long-term plans and programs for the development of the agro-industrial complex at various levels: a region, a municipality, an agricultural producer. This paper describes the created software package that allows predicting the yield of agricultural crops, labor costs for obtaining products, production volumes, financial indicators for the medium and long term. For prognostic purposes, the functions of growth with saturation were used: asymptotic and logistic. The software package has been tested on data from municipal districts and agricultural enterprises of the region. With its help, significant models are determined that make it possible to make forecasts with different lead times, as well as to evaluate prognostic values, taking into account different conditions of agricultural enterprises
forecasting, planning, growth models, asymptotic function, logistic function, software package.