Estimates of the state of distributed systems by mathematical and mapping simulation methods on the example of HFRS disease data in the territory of the Republic Bashkortostan

Tatyana D. Prosvirkina, Sergey A. Larshutin, Vladimir E. Gvozdev, Oksana Ya. Bezhaeva, Ekaterina Yu. Barudkina, Georgiy V. Gvozdev

Bashkir State Medical University, Ufa State Aviation Technical University, City Children's Clinical Hospital № 17

One of the effective technological methods for ensuring the comparability of data, characterizing the state of territorial systems from different position is to convert it to a form of mapping models, known as zoning of territorial systems. This paper discusses the problems of zoning the territory of the Republic Bashkortostan on the example of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) disease data. Zoning results provide the basis for solving other information problems. The paper also discusses the issues of identifying similar states of the territorial system for this indicator in different time slices. Analysis of the state of the territory as a whole is reduced in a comparison of the results obtained by means of mathematical and geoinformation models relative to the entire studied territory under various conditions of simulation. Proposed approach, allows to increase the number of particular characteristics, that is, the number of points of view on the state of the territory system.

territory systems, system-forming factors, mapping simulation, estimates of the state, HFRS, network-centric control